FCX Technical Analysis — 2024-07-23

▼ Bearish
Price at call $45.24
Published 2024-07-23
Crystal Vision AI · Technical Analysis

For the technical analysis of the provided stock price data, we will evaluate the following important technical indicators:

  1. Simple Moving Averages (SMA)
  2. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
  3. Bollinger Bands
  4. On Balance Volume (OBV)
  5. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

1. Simple Moving Averages (SMA)

  • SMA 20: Measures the average price over the past 20 days.
  • SMA 50: Measures the average price over the past 50 days.
  • SMA 100: Measures the average price over the past 100 days.

2. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

  • EMA 12: Measures the average price over the past 12 days, giving more weight to recent prices.
  • EMA 26: Measures the average price over the past 26 days, giving more weight to recent prices.

3. Bollinger Bands

  • These consist of 3 lines:
  • Lower Band: 2 standard deviations below the middle band.
  • Middle Band: The 20-day SMA.
  • Upper Band: 2 standard deviations above the middle band.

4. On Balance Volume (OBV)

  • Calculated by adding the volume on up days and subtracting the volume on down days, it indicates the buying and selling pressure.

5. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

  • MACD Line: Difference between the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA.
  • Signal Line: 9-day EMA of the MACD line.
  • MACD Histogram: Difference between the MACD line and the signal line.

Interpreting the indicators:

Simple Moving Averages (SMA)

  • SMA 20 (49.19), SMA 50 (50.34), SMA 100 (48.53):
  • Current price (45.24) is below all the SMAs, signaling a bearish trend.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

  • EMA 12 (47.99), EMA 26 (48.97):
  • Similar to the SMAs, the current price is below these shorter-term averages, indicating bearish sentiment.

Bollinger Bands

  • Lower Band (45.13), Middle Band (49.19), Upper Band (53.25):
  • The price is near the lower band, suggesting it is oversold and might bounce back.

On Balance Volume (OBV)

  • OBV is decreasing consistently:
  • Decrease from 74,617,833 to 19,366,265 suggests selling pressure is strong.

MACD

  • MACD Line (-0.98), Signal Line (-0.4), MACD Histogram (-0.58):
  • A negative and decreasing MACD histogram coupled with a MACD line below the Signal line confirms a bearish trend.

Summary & Estimated Direction

**

(Bearish sentiment predicted due to the downward trend in price, OBV, and MACD indicators)

Confidence Score: 80%

(The consistent bearish signals across multiple technical indicators provide a high level of confidence)

In conclusion, based on the analyzed data, the stock is currently experiencing a downtrend with significant bearish indicators across SMA, EMA, Bollinger Bands, OBV, and MACD.

Crystal Vision provides directional predictions for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own due diligence before trading.