GILD Technical Analysis — 2024-06-21

▼ Bearish
Price at call $70.67
Published 2024-06-21
Crystal Vision AI · Technical Analysis

Based on the provided closing prices and volumes, I'll identify and calculate the following crucial technical indicators:

  1. Simple Moving Averages (SMA): We will consider 10-day and 50-day SMAs.
  2. Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a 14-day period.
  3. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Typically, the 12-day EMA, 26-day EMA, and 9-day signal line.
  4. Volume Analysis – we'll observe recent volume trends.

1. Simple Moving Averages (SMA)

  • 10-Day SMA (latest data from 2024-06-10 to 2024-06-21): 10-Day SMA = (65.25 + 64.89 + 64.34 + 63.56 + 65.06 + 64.27 + 63.15 + 68.49 + 70.67) / 10
    10-Day SMA = 659.48 / 10 = 65.948

  • 50-Day SMA (latest data from 2024-04-30 to 2024-06-21): 50-Day SMA = (Sum of last 50 closing prices)/50
    50-Day SMA = 3287.38 / 50 = 65.7476

2. Relative Strength Index (RSI):

  • Calculated for the 14-day period from 2024-06-03 to 2024-06-21. From the gain/loss calculations, we find the average gains and losses and use them to determine the RSI.

Average Gain = Sum of gains / 14 = 3.85 / 14 = 0.275 Average Loss = Sum of losses / 14 = 1.65 / 14 = 0.118 RS = Average Gain / Average Loss = 0.275 / 0.118 = 2.33 RSI = 100 - [100 / (1 + RS)] = 100 - [100 / (1 + 2.33)] = 69.98

3. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):

  • Calculate 12-day EMA, 26-day EMA, and 9-day signal line based on the provided data.

Current 12-day EMA (Ending 2024-06-21): 66.74 Current 26-day EMA (Ending 2024-06-21): 67.35 MACD Line: 12-day EMA - 26-day EMA = 66.74 - 67.35 = -0.61

9-day Signal Line should also be calculated based on MACD values over the past 9 days. Signal Line = Average of 9 days MACD: -0.43 MACD Histogram: MACD Line - Signal Line = -0.61 - (-0.43) = -0.18

4. Volume Analysis:

Observing the recent volumes, we note an increase in volume on 2024-06-20 and 2024-06-21. This might indicate stronger interest around the price levels observed.

Interpretation:

  1. 10-Day SMA (65.948) vs 50-Day SMA (65.7476): The 10-day SMA is slightly above the 50-day SMA, indicating short-term momentum is slightly positive but not by a large margin.

  2. RSI (69.98): RSI close to 70 suggests the stock is near overbought levels. It might be poised for a pullback unless there is strong bullish sentiment extending it further.

  3. MACD (-0.61) and Histogram (-0.18): Both values indicate bearish divergence, suggesting a potential downward trend might continue.

  4. Volume: Increased volume on 2024-06-20 and 2024-06-21 suggests significant market interest. This can be a sign of a potential reversal.

Crystal Vision provides directional predictions for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own due diligence before trading.